Stocks continued to move up last week as all major U.S. indices hit new highs. Investor optimism rose as expectations for deregulation, possible tax cuts and fiscal stimulus under the new administration accelerated. These same factors put upward pressure on bond yields and the U.S. dollar. A strong Dollar has historically been good for the stock market. The reasoning is simple. If you are a European or Japanese, would you leave your money in a bank which takes a piece of your money given negative interest rate policies; or would you rather send your money to the US where we have positive interest rates and a rising stock market?
Runnymede has been bullish on the stock market since early July because of improving earnings and good value relative to fixed income. As we ahead to 2017, we remain positive. Former JP Morgan Chief Equity Strategist Tom Lee shares our enthusiasm for equities in a recent interview on CNBC.
The Runnymede team is full of gratitude and sends its thanks to all clients, friends, and colleagues this Thanksgiving day. Whether you are home or traveling far, please know that you are dear to our hearts.
It's been 8 days since the Presidential Election and financial markets have had quite a wild ride. On election night, S&P futures traded down limit of -5%. It appeared that markets would react strongly to the downside much like after the Brexit vote. However, the markets quickly digested the surprising Trump decision and markets have traded sharply higher on hopes that Trump's policies will be inflationary and stimulate the economy. While it is too early to tell what he will be able to accomplish, financial markets have wagered some early bets on who the winners and losers will be. The early winner is financial stocks. Trump is widely expected to roll back the regulations of Dodd-Frank which were enacted after the financial crisis of 2008. Financials are also benefiting from the rise in long term interest rates which benefits their net interest margin and equals larger profits. The sharp move in interest rates caused headaches for high dividend stocks which were the hardest hit with REITs, consumer staples and utilities all in the red.
Last week's Presidential election brought volatility to financial markets and the most damage was inflicted on the Mexican Peso. With threats of renegotiating NAFTA and taxing Mexicans citizens to pay for a border wall, the Mexican Peso dropped over 10% in one day and became the worst performing emerging market currency in 2016. While this is terrible if you live south of the border, it can mean great things if you are planning a vacation. Since last year, the Peso has fallen over 23% which means huge potential savings for American travelers! It's time to pack your bags and brush up on your Spanish because 2017 should provide money saving opportunities for the savviest travelers. Here are 3 tips on planning your future getaway.
The subject of investment advisory fees can be confusing. While researching online, I observed that it is difficult to find average fees published anywhere so I hope that you find this blog post helpful.
As we move past Election Day, financial markets should be able to refocus on what truly matters: company fundamentals. This should serve as a catalyst to push equity prices higher with earnings finally back on the rise. It has been a tough period for earnings because of the strength in the US Dollar and extreme volatility in crude oil prices. This trend appears to have finally stabilized. The energy sector is expected to post a flat quarter after posting huge losses for the previous four quarters.
Halloween has come and gone. My two witches and one Ghost Buster put in an impressive two hours of trick or treating in our neighborhood and have the candy to prove it. Yet, people are nervous. At least judging by the frequency of questions we're asked about the implications of the upcoming Presidential election, it's the two "ghouls" staring down November 8th that have investors more scared than in any other election of my lifetime. With less than a week to go before heading to the voting booths, here's a little data and perspective.
One of the most important decisions you have to make in your 401(k) plan is asset allocation -- that is, how much you put in stocks, bonds, and cash. Asset allocation is the strategy of dividing your investments across various asset classes in order to reduce risk through diversification. Here are two simple approaches to get you started.
Your 401(k) could make you a millionaire. By making small, regular investments starting in your 20s or early 30s, your savings will grow tax-free for 30 to 40 years. Unfortunately, people tend to procrastinate because they are focused on bills that are due today and the things they want right now. We human beings are notoriously bad at wrapping our minds around far off events.When it comes to investing, time is a big advantage. Here are three reasons why.
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by Runnymede Capital Management, Inc.), or any non-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in this blog will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this blog serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from Runnymede Capital Management, Inc. To the extent that a reader has any questions regarding the applicability of any specific issue discussed above to his/her individual situation, he/she is encouraged to consult with the professional advisor of his/her choosing. Runnymede Capital Management, Inc. is neither a law firm nor a certified public accounting firm and no portion of the blog content should be construed as legal or accounting advice. A copy of Runnymede Capital Management, Inc.’s current written disclosure statement discussing our advisory services and fees is available for review upon request.