On Tuesday, President elect Joe Biden announced that former Fed Chair Janet Yellen is his pick to be Treasury Secretary. Given her successful tenure as Fed Chair from 2014 to 2018, the pick looks like a winner from the start. Let's take a look at why she is a great choice in the current environment.
On November 9, 2020, Andy and Chris spoke on a zoom call with the friends of Tuckahoe Public Library to discuss "Financial Literacy: The Pandemic's Impact on the Economy and Financial Markets." In the talk, we cover a lot of ground including:
Earlier this week, we said that the market may be predicting another Trump upset, but another indicator is predicting our incumbent president's loss. The "Presidential Predictor," popularized by Sam Stovall, CFRA's chief investment strategist, tracks the S&P 500 performance from July 31 to October 31. Going back to 1944, it has found that a positive move over that period usually translates to an incumbent victory, while a negative move translates to a loss.
Most polls have Biden well ahead of President Trump and betting markets have Trump as an underdog with just a week to go before Election Day. However, we know that in 2016, Trump was in a similar position so it wouldn't be that shocking to see another upset win for Trump. The battleground states are very tight races so anything is possible. What is the stock market telling us about who will win the White House?
Last night on Capital One's 3Q earnings call, their founder and CEO Richard Fairbank made some interesting comments about what the credit card company is seeing in the COVID affected economy. Fairbank has over 30 years experience and has seen many economic downturns so his perspective is invaluable. He said, "This is the biggest disconnect that I certainly have experienced in my three decades of building Capital One between what we see in the economy itself and the actual performance of the consumer, especially from a credit point of view."
The Presidential election is just 26 days away and many investors are worried about the implications to their investments. While we know that polling isn't perfect, former VP Joe Biden is leading national polls and is well ahead of where Hillary Clinton was four years ago. A lot can happen in four weeks, but if Joe Biden wins the election, will his policies mean higher taxes and potential big losses to your investment portfolio?
The Federal Reserve recently signaled that it's likely to keep interest rates at zero through 2023. This is bad news for savers and retirees who are looking for a safe place to park their cash. Gone are the days where you could leave money in a bank to earn 4-5%. In response, investors have been forced to take more risk, often investing in lower quality bonds or more stocks. Faced with a weakened economy from a global pandemic and an uncertain Presidential election, where can retirees look for a safe return? One potential solution is multi-year guaranteed annuities (MYGAs).
,The annuity business has grown in popularity as investors, especially those nearing retirement, look for options to protect themselves from stock market volatility and give them a decent income stream in retirement. With over $200 billion in annual sales, the annuity industry is big business with lots of salespeople trying to persuade you to make a purchase.
Today I will dig deep into the Allianz Index Advantage Annuity. This annuity is the insurance industry's newest innovation, RILAs or registered indexed-linked annuities aka buffer annuities. These annuities appeal to investors who are risk averse but also need growth - some protection on the downside in exchange for a cap on a stock index's performance. Sales of RILAs rose 38% to $4.9 billion in the first quarter of 2020.
The Allianz Index Advantage Annuity is listed in Barron's best RILAs with downside protection with stock-like returns.
Chris Wang returned to The Watch List with Nicole Petallides this afternoon to discuss the financial markets, Peloton, and Conagra Foods.
With the COVID-19 shutdown profoundly impacting the US economy with over 30 million job losses, just one in 10 fund managers expect a V-shaped recovery according to the FT. Is this the right call? Luckily we can look to the Far East as a crystal ball and what we may have in store in the next few months.
China re-opened their economy in mid-February so they are about 3-5 months ahead of the US economy as the US is opening states at differing schedules.
What does it suggest about a V-shaped recovery? Some sectors have rebounded in a strong V, while others have been slow to recover. Let's take a closer look.
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